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TARGIT-A (long-term follow-up): reconstructed Kaplan–Meier curves

Updated 2026-09-25 · reconstructed by TrialCurve from a CC BY-licensed publication

Long term survival and local control outcomes from single dose targeted intraoperative radiotherapy during lumpectomy (TARGIT-IORT) for early breast cancer: TARGIT-A randomised clinical trial. Curves rebuilt as patient-level data (Guyot 2012) and checked against the statistics printed on the figure.

PublicationBMJ. 2020 Aug 19;370:m2836. doi: 10.1136/bmj.m2836
DOI10.1136/bmj.m2836
RegistryNCT00983684
PhasePhase 3
ConditionsInvasive Breast Cancer, Breast Cancer
InterventionsIntrabeam, Post-operative radiotherapy
SponsorUniversity College, London
Enrolment3451
Source licenceFigure published under CC BY 4.0

Local recurrence-free survival

From figure panel · validated against the values printed on the figure · curve source: vision model

Reconstructed from the published curve. Median: TARGIT not reached; EBRT not reached. Survival at 3 years: TARGIT 97%; EBRT 97%. Hazard ratio EBRT vs TARGIT 0.86 (95% CI 0.68–1.08).

0%20%40%60%80%100%024681012YearsTARGITEBRT
ArmNEventsMedian (Years)
TARGIT1140155not reached
EBRT1158134not reached

Landmark survival (reconstructed)

TimeTARGITEBRT
1 yr99.7%99.7%
2 yr98.5%98.3%
3 yr97.3%96.9%
5 yr94.3%94.5%
7 yr90.4%92.6%
10 yr84.4%86.4%

Checks against the published figure

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Invasive local recurrence-free survival

From figure panel · validated against the values printed on the figure · curve source: vision model

Reconstructed from the published curve. Median: TARGIT not reached; EBRT not reached. Survival at 3 years: TARGIT 97%; EBRT 97%. Hazard ratio EBRT vs TARGIT 0.94 (95% CI 0.74–1.19).

0%20%40%60%80%100%024681012YearsTARGITEBRT
ArmNEventsMedian (Years)
TARGIT1140144not reached
EBRT1158135not reached

Landmark survival (reconstructed)

TimeTARGITEBRT
1 yr99.5%99.5%
2 yr98.5%98.1%
3 yr97.3%96.7%
5 yr94.7%94.3%
7 yr91.2%92.6%
10 yr85.5%85.8%

Checks against the published figure

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Mastectomy-free survival

From figure panel · validated against the values printed on the figure · curve source: vision model

Reconstructed from the published curve. Median: TARGIT not reached; EBRT not reached. Survival at 3 years: TARGIT 95%; EBRT 95%. Hazard ratio TARGIT vs EBRT 0.95 (95% CI 0.76–1.17).

0%20%40%60%80%100%024681012YearsTARGITEBRT
ArmNEventsMedian (Years)
TARGIT1140162not reached
EBRT1158171not reached

Landmark survival (reconstructed)

TimeTARGITEBRT
1 yr97.1%96.9%
2 yr96.0%95.9%
3 yr95.0%94.8%
5 yr92.4%91.9%
7 yr89.1%89.3%
10 yr83.9%83.0%

Checks against the published figure

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Distant disease-free survival

From figure panel · validated against the values printed on the figure · curve source: vision model

Reconstructed from the published curve. Median: TARGIT not reached; EBRT not reached. Survival at 3 years: TARGIT 97%; EBRT 97%. Hazard ratio TARGIT vs EBRT 0.87 (95% CI 0.68–1.10).

0%20%40%60%80%100%024681012YearsTARGITEBRT
ArmNEventsMedian (Years)
TARGIT1140126not reached
EBRT1158144not reached

Landmark survival (reconstructed)

TimeTARGITEBRT
1 yr99.3%99.1%
2 yr98.3%97.9%
3 yr97.1%96.7%
5 yr94.9%94.2%
7 yr91.5%90.8%
10 yr87.4%85.1%

Checks against the published figure

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Breast cancer specific survival

From figure panel · validated against the values printed on the figure · curve source: vision model

Reconstructed from the published curve. Median: TARGIT not reached; EBRT not reached. Survival at 3 years: TARGIT 98%; EBRT 99%. Hazard ratio EBRT vs TARGIT 0.90 (95% CI 0.63–1.29).

0%20%40%60%80%100%024681012YearsTARGITEBRT
ArmNEventsMedian (Years)
TARGIT114063not reached
EBRT115856not reached

Landmark survival (reconstructed)

TimeTARGITEBRT
1 yr99.8%99.8%
2 yr99.3%99.3%
3 yr98.5%98.6%
5 yr97.4%97.4%
7 yr96.0%96.5%
10 yr93.5%94.0%

Checks against the published figure

Download pseudo-IPD (CSV)

Non-breast cancer survival

From figure panel · validated against the values printed on the figure · curve source: vision model

Reconstructed from the published curve. Median: TARGIT not reached; EBRT not reached. Survival at 3 years: TARGIT 99%; EBRT 98%. Hazard ratio TARGIT vs EBRT 0.61 (95% CI 0.42–0.89).

0%20%40%60%80%100%024681012YearsTARGITEBRT
ArmNEventsMedian (Years)
TARGIT114043not reached
EBRT115870not reached

Landmark survival (reconstructed)

TimeTARGITEBRT
1 yr99.8%99.8%
2 yr99.3%99.1%
3 yr98.8%98.5%
5 yr97.9%97.3%
7 yr97.2%95.8%
10 yr95.7%92.3%

Checks against the published figure

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Overall survival

From figure panel · validated against the values printed on the figure · curve source: vision model

Reconstructed from the published curve. Median: TARGIT not reached; EBRT not reached. Survival at 3 years: TARGIT 98%; EBRT 98%. Hazard ratio TARGIT vs EBRT 0.83 (95% CI 0.64–1.07).

0%20%40%60%80%100%024681012YearsTARGITEBRT
ArmNEventsMedian (Years)
TARGIT1140106not reached
EBRT1158126not reached

Landmark survival (reconstructed)

TimeTARGITEBRT
1 yr99.7%99.7%
2 yr99.0%98.6%
3 yr97.9%97.6%
5 yr96.1%95.2%
7 yr93.1%92.7%
10 yr89.0%86.5%

Checks against the published figure

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Breast cancer mortality — TARGIT-A trial

From figure panel · validated against the values printed on the figure · curve source: vision model

Reconstructed from the published curve. Cumulative incidence at 3 years: TARGIT 1%; EBRT 1%. Hazard ratio EBRT vs TARGIT 0.92 (95% CI 0.64–1.31).

100%80%60%40%20%0%024681012YearsTARGITEBRT
ArmNEventsMedian (Years)
TARGIT114062not reached
EBRT115856not reached

Cumulative incidence (reconstructed)

TimeTARGITEBRT
1 yr0.0%0.1%
2 yr0.2%0.9%
3 yr0.9%1.4%
5 yr2.1%2.5%
7 yr3.9%3.2%
10 yr6.6%6.3%

Checks against the published figure

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Non-breast cancer mortality — TARGIT-A trial

From figure panel · validated against the values printed on the figure · curve source: vision model

Reconstructed from the published curve. Cumulative incidence at 3 years: TARGIT 1%; EBRT 1%. Hazard ratio TARGIT vs EBRT 0.58 (95% CI 0.39–0.85).

100%80%60%40%20%0%024681012YearsTARGITEBRT
ArmNEventsMedian (Years)
TARGIT114041not reached
EBRT115870not reached

Cumulative incidence (reconstructed)

TimeTARGITEBRT
1 yr0.2%0.3%
2 yr0.5%0.8%
3 yr0.9%1.4%
5 yr1.5%2.6%
7 yr2.7%4.2%
10 yr4.0%7.6%

Checks against the published figure

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Overall mortality — TARGIT-A trial

From figure panel · validated against the values printed on the figure · curve source: vision model

Reconstructed from the published curve. Cumulative incidence at 3 years: TARGIT 2%; EBRT 3%. Hazard ratio TARGIT vs EBRT 0.81 (95% CI 0.62–1.05).

100%80%60%40%20%0%024681012YearsTARGITEBRT
ArmNEventsMedian (Years)
TARGIT1140103not reached
EBRT1158126not reached

Cumulative incidence (reconstructed)

TimeTARGITEBRT
1 yr0.2%0.4%
2 yr0.6%1.7%
3 yr1.9%2.9%
5 yr4.0%5.3%
7 yr6.7%7.2%
10 yr10.3%13.2%

Checks against the published figure

Download pseudo-IPD (CSV)

About these data

Pseudo-IPD reproduces the published curves and numbers at risk; the rows are not real patients. Cite the publication (DOI above) and TrialCurve. The source figure is © the authors (CC BY 4.0); the charts here are redrawn from the reconstruction.

Load these data in R or Python
# R
library(survival)
d <- read.csv("https://trialcurve.com/data/trials/targit-a-long-term-follow-up-1.csv")
survfit(Surv(time, event) ~ arm, data = d)
coxph(Surv(time, event) ~ arm, data = d)

# Python
import pandas as pd
from lifelines import KaplanMeierFitter
d = pd.read_csv("https://trialcurve.com/data/trials/targit-a-long-term-follow-up-1.csv")
for arm, g in d.groupby("arm"):
    KaplanMeierFitter().fit(g.time, g.event, label=arm).plot_survival_function()

Suggested citation: BMJ. 2020 Aug 19;370:m2836. doi: 10.1136/bmj.m2836 doi:10.1136/bmj.m2836. Reconstructed data: TrialCurve (2026), https://trialcurve.com/trials/targit-a-long-term-follow-up

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