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RADICALS-HD (three-way comparison): reconstructed Kaplan–Meier curves

Updated 2026-09-25 · reconstructed by TrialCurve from a CC BY-licensed publication

Randomised Trial of No, Short-term, or Long-term Androgen Deprivation Therapy with Postoperative Radiotherapy After Radical Prostatectomy: Results from the Three-way Comparison of RADICALS-HD (NCT00541047). Curves rebuilt as patient-level data (Guyot 2012) and checked against the statistics printed on the figure.

PublicationEur Urol. Author manuscript; Available in PMC 2025 Jan 8.
DOI10.1016/j.eururo.2024.07.026
Registry—
Phase—
Conditions—
Interventions—
Sponsor—
Enrolment—
Source licenceFigure published under CC BY 4.0

Metastasis-free survival

From figure panel A · curves cross-checked by two independent readings · curve source: pixel measurement confirmed by vision model

Reconstructed from the published curve. Median: Long not reached; Short not reached; None not reached. Survival at 3 years: Long 96%; Short 98%; None 97%. Hazard ratio Long vs None 0.90 (95% CI 0.52–1.56).

0%20%40%60%80%100%0246810YearsLongShortNone
ArmNEventsMedian (Years)
Long16224not reached
Short16428not reached
None16627not reached

Landmark survival (reconstructed)

TimeLongShortNone
1 yr98.1%100.0%99.4%
2 yr96.9%98.1%98.8%
3 yr95.6%97.5%97.0%
5 yr93.1%91.8%92.0%
7 yr89.1%88.4%85.8%
10 yr80.6%76.9%80.4%

Checks against the published figure

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Overall survival

From figure panel B · curves cross-checked by two independent readings · curve source: pixel measurement confirmed by vision model

Reconstructed from the published curve. Median: Short not reached; Long not reached; None not reached. Survival at 3 years: Short 98%; Long 98%; None 98%. Hazard ratio Short vs None 1.02 (95% CI 0.55–1.90).

0%20%40%60%80%100%0246810YearsShortLongNone
ArmNEventsMedian (Years)
Short16420not reached
Long16219not reached
None16620not reached

Landmark survival (reconstructed)

TimeShortLongNone
1 yr100.0%98.8%99.4%
2 yr99.4%98.1%99.4%
3 yr98.1%97.5%98.2%
5 yr96.2%95.0%95.1%
7 yr92.9%91.5%89.1%
10 yr82.3%84.6%85.4%

Checks against the published figure

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Freedom from distant metastasis

From figure panel C · curves cross-checked by two independent readings · curve source: pixel measurement confirmed by vision model

Reconstructed from the published curve. Median: None not reached; Short not reached; Long not reached. Survival at 3 years: None 99%; Short 99%; Long 97%. Hazard ratio Short vs None 0.93 (95% CI 0.41–2.12).

0%20%40%60%80%100%0246810YearsNoneShortLong
ArmNEventsMedian (Years)
None16612not reached
Short16412not reached
Long16213not reached

Landmark survival (reconstructed)

TimeNoneShortLong
1 yr100.0%100.0%98.8%
2 yr99.4%98.8%98.1%
3 yr98.8%98.8%97.5%
5 yr96.2%94.8%96.2%
7 yr93.2%93.4%93.4%
10 yr—91.1%89.4%

Checks against the published figure

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Time to salvage hormone therapy

From figure panel D · curves cross-checked by two independent readings · curve source: pixel measurement confirmed by vision model

Reconstructed from the published curve. Median: Long not reached; Short not reached; None not reached. Survival at 3 years: Long 98%; Short 98%; None 87%. Hazard ratio Long vs None 0.55 (95% CI 0.32–0.93).

0%20%40%60%80%100%0246810YearsLongShortNone
ArmNEventsMedian (Years)
Long16222not reached
Short16426not reached
None16637not reached

Landmark survival (reconstructed)

TimeLongShortNone
1 yr99.4%100.0%96.3%
2 yr98.7%98.1%92.0%
3 yr98.1%98.1%87.1%
5 yr92.8%92.3%81.2%
7 yr89.3%88.9%76.8%
10 yr82.6%75.8%—

Checks against the published figure

Download pseudo-IPD (CSV)

About these data

Pseudo-IPD reproduces the published curves and numbers at risk; the rows are not real patients. Cite the publication (DOI above) and TrialCurve. The source figure is © the authors (CC BY 4.0); the charts here are redrawn from the reconstruction.

Load these data in R or Python
# R
library(survival)
d <- read.csv("https://trialcurve.com/data/trials/radicals-hd-three-way-comparison-1.csv")
survfit(Surv(time, event) ~ arm, data = d)
coxph(Surv(time, event) ~ arm, data = d)

# Python
import pandas as pd
from lifelines import KaplanMeierFitter
d = pd.read_csv("https://trialcurve.com/data/trials/radicals-hd-three-way-comparison-1.csv")
for arm, g in d.groupby("arm"):
    KaplanMeierFitter().fit(g.time, g.event, label=arm).plot_survival_function()

Suggested citation: Eur Urol. Author manuscript; Available in PMC 2025 Jan 8. doi:10.1016/j.eururo.2024.07.026. Reconstructed data: TrialCurve (2026), https://trialcurve.com/trials/radicals-hd-three-way-comparison

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